蜜柚直播

New figures from the state Department of Economic Security show that as of last week there were 234,089 individuals collecting under the state鈥檚 regular unemployment insurance program.

But that pales in comparison to the more than 1.4 million who are getting paid under the federally created Pandemic Unemployment Assistance program. That is for those who do not qualify for regular state benefits, ranging from those who were self-employed and contractors 鈥� people not considered part of the traditional state labor force of about 3.4 million 鈥� to those whose prelayoff wages do not qualify them for 蜜柚直播鈥檚 unemployment program.

Potentially more alarming is that the number of 蜜柚直播ns seeking jobless benefits is again on the rise.

DES says 28,522 individuals filed first-time claims last week. That鈥檚 up 17% from the week before.

And that figure, in turn, is nearly 11% higher than the prior week.

The numbers still are far below what they were after Gov. Doug Ducey closed what he said were nonessential businesses and imposed a stay-home order when, in one week alone, more than 132,000 people filed for benefits.

Economist Elliott Pollack said the figures are surprising.

鈥淚t鈥檚 a different trend than the national trend, which continues down,鈥� he said.

All this comes as 蜜柚直播 set another record Tuesday with 2,392 new cases of COVID-19 reported.

There were a record 1,506 蜜柚直播ns hospitalized with positive or suspected cases of the virus and 502 COVID-19 patients in intensive-care unit beds, also a record. And emergency room visits for those with the virus also hit a new high at 956.

鈥淲e anticipated increased cases in June based on various modeling,鈥� said gubernatorial press aide Patrick Ptak. And he said the state has worked to increase hospital capacity 鈥渢o ensure every 蜜柚直播n has access to care, should they need it.鈥�

But Ducey has taken the position that his decisions to reopen the 蜜柚直播 economy have been correct. And he has refused to impose new rules or even allow local officials to impose restrictions of their own.

What鈥檚 happening on the jobless front, Pollack said, is that the hit to the economy is now spreading out.

Initially the big losses were in the expected categories like hotels, bars, restaurants and certain administrative services. These are industries where the closure orders had a direct impact.

鈥淩ipple effects鈥�

But he said any recovery there 鈥� and there are indications of some hiring in those sectors 鈥� comes as other sectors of the economy are just getting hit.

鈥淚t seems to me that what鈥檚 going on are the ripple effects are finally hitting industries that are not as directly affected,鈥� he said.

Pollack also cited the fact that there are 682,000 蜜柚直播ns who have applied for regular unemployment benefits since March 21.

鈥淭hat鈥檚 23% of the people who were employed in March,鈥� he said. 鈥淪o it鈥檚 a huge number.鈥�

He said some of those people may have since been called back, but Pollack won鈥檛 know until the state announces its official monthly unemployment numbers.

The next report comes Thursday, but it will only reflect the condition of the state economy for the second full week of May. What鈥檚 happening now won鈥檛 show up in the jobless stats until July 15.

Economist Lee McPheters of the W.P. Carey School of Business at 蜜柚直播 State University, said there may be other factors at work in the increase in people filing for benefits. That includes the inability of those who were laid off to even get into the system, which was never designed to handle this many claims.

鈥淪o there may be delays in processing earlier claims,鈥� he said.

But McPheters said he expects new claims to hover in the 20,000 range 鈥� far above the precoronavirus levels of 3,500 a week 鈥� through the rest of June and into July.

鈥淭here are high hopes for the third quarter in 蜜柚直播 and at the national level,鈥� he said. 鈥淏ut the unknown is the virus, which is the 鈥榚xternal shock鈥� caveat that economists always put in their forecasts.

鈥淚 think there is more chance it gets worse rather than getting better.鈥�

He said if things continue at this rate, 蜜柚直播 will erase all the job gains since 2016.

鈥淎nd 2016 is the year when 蜜柚直播 finally replaced all lost jobs from the Great Recession,鈥� McPheters said.

鈥淪o, basically 2020 is going to look like 2007 when measured by total employment under that scenario.鈥�

Part of the problem with the data is the way DES keeps track of claims.

For example, DES cannot say how many of the 118,335 new claims for PUA are duplicative, consisting of people who had previously applied for regular unemployment benefits, been found ineligible, and were instead put into the PUA program, versus those who applied solely for PUA benefits.

Spokesman Brett Bezio said efforts are underway to identify the number of unique 蜜柚直播ns who have applied.

A variation of that problem may also exist for people who are furloughed for one week a month. Bezio said when they again seek benefits the next time they are furloughed it is possible some of these are being counted as new applications.