Blame it on La Ni帽a!
That鈥檚 what 蜜柚直播ans will be doing if the drier, warmer-than-normal forecast put out by the National Weather Service on Monday comes to fruition.
The meteorological phenomenon, caused by colder than normal waters in the equatorial Pacific Ocean off the coast of South America, is the driver behind the forecast, according to meteorologist Carl Cerniglia of the National Weather Service in 蜜柚直播.
鈥淟a Ni帽a ends up tweaking our weather pattern in such a form that, at least in the Western U.S., it shoves the jet stream a little further north. That results in warmer than normal conditions here, but it also 鈥� reduces the chances of having those weather systems. And then that鈥檚 where it reduces the chance of us getting our normal winter precipitation.鈥�
In a typical winter, 蜜柚直播 can expect to receive 2.64 inches of rain between the beginning of December and the end of February.
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But during 蜜柚直播鈥檚 last significant La Ni帽a winter weather pattern, last year, the city recorded just 1.95 inches, according to Cerniglia.
While Southern 蜜柚直播 is usually driest in winter, a particularly dry season could offset the gains made during the past summer, when the region had one of the wettest monsoons on record and the wettest recorded in decades.
蜜柚直播鈥檚 2021 monsoon ended as the third-wettest on record.
The total amount of rain received during this year鈥檚 monsoon, which runs from June 15 through Sept. 30, was 12.79 inches.
The wettest monsoon on record was in 1964, when 13.84 inches of rain fell on the Old Pueblo.
The average rainfall for a 蜜柚直播 monsoon is 5.55 inches, according to the weather service.
Last year, 蜜柚直播 received only 1.62 inches of rain, making it the second-driest monsoon on record.
鈥淲hat we really needed was an above-normal monsoon season, or at least a normal season, in order to really eradicate the drought conditions,鈥� Cerniglia said.
However, there is some hope for those holding out for a wetter winter.
鈥淟ast year鈥檚 La Ni帽a was stronger than this one is forecast to be so that that can impact the degree to some extent,鈥� Cerniglia said. 鈥淟ike the stronger, the La Ni帽a, the more likely you will have a below normal winter. If it鈥檚 a marginal La Ni帽a, it could tip the odds either way.鈥�
Edward Celaya is a breaking news and marijuana reporter. He has been on both beats since May 2021.